Tag: RSI

Attention continues to be gripped on Japan and the Middle East, especially Bahrain, this afternoon as the circumstances in both nations brings nervousness to an already volatile global setting. The nuclear disaster in Fukushima has reconditioned anxieties of stalled economic recovery while the continuing violence in Manama induced further flight to quality. Nevertheless, stocks regained ground, a move that did not transfer signals to the fx trading market.

A massive downside miss in U.S. Housing Starts and major upside miss in PPI signals a stagflation environment which doesn’t bode well for the USD over a mid-term.

USD/JPY as well as the whole JPY complex plunged in the twilight hours between the New York close and the Sydney-Tokyo open on renewed anxieties regarding Japan and expectations of large Japanese repatriation to finance costs connected with the earthquake. Later this morning, nearer to the London open, the USD and JPY pared back a lot of the gains as the risk-aversion of the previous three days is abating.

EUR/USD Forex signals opinions for Metatrader: A pull back to the mid 20-day Bolli band at 1.3838 is possible. The sellers are urged by the solitary currency’s disappointment at the 1.4000-level. MACD is neutral today. RSI points to the south, agreeing with the generally somewhat bearish disposition here.

GBP/USD Currency signals for MT4: The general picture has rolled over to a neutral one. MACD is in a decisive negative cross, RSI has also rotated lower. Nevertheless, the bottom 20-day Bolli bad at 1.6026 is indicating to be a strong support for the sterling. The 20-day moving average at 1.6183 is performing like a magnet. The 20-day mid Bolli band is a crucial point.

USD/JPY Metatrader Forex Brokers Alerts Evaluation: MACD is moving on on its bearish cross today, presenting an undesirable look to the couple. RSI is negative, just above the oversold level of 30. Most likely tight ranges should control here with the bottom 20-day Bolli band at 80.87 underpinning the action on the downside, while the 20-day MA at 82.26 is very likely to restrict development higher. The reality that the bottom Bolli band was penetrated yesterday and today, adjusts emphasis to further downside.

Confluence is a term that is often used in geographical circles, but it is also used when discussing aspects of forex trading as well. In simple terms confluence refers to two things meeting or coming together, and this is commonly used to describe scenarios where two or more technical indicators come together.

So why is this important?

Well you will rarely see it being mentioned in any forex course, but it is important because you often get some very good trading set-ups when a few of these indicators come together. To digress for a second, some traders use this term to describe situations where two indicators give the same signals, for example when both the RSI and Stochastics are above the 80 level and therefore overbought. However I like to use the word confluence in the truest sense of the word to describe situations where two similar indicators come together on the charts.

One example of this would be where you get a situation where there is a key fibonacci level very close to the daily pivot point. One of these indicators alone can often act as a strong support or resistance level, so two together will give you an even stronger level of support or resistance.

Another good example, and one I look for quite a lot in my own trading, is when several moving average indicators come together on the charts. For instance when the 5, 20, 50 and 200 period exponential moving averages come together and are all very close to each other.

When this happens it signals a period of consolidation, but more importantly it signals that there could a big breakout coming in the near future. As soon as the price breaks out of this range and the short-term moving averages start heading higher or lower, you should consider opening a new position in the same direction because you often get some big price moves.

So to sum up, confluence in forex trading often refers to two or more technical indicators coming together. Successful forex trading is all about finding high probability set-ups, and one of the best signals you can get is when you get multiple moving averages coming together, because the end result is that you often get a big breakout when this period of consolidation is over. However there are lots of other ways you can use confluence to find decent set-ups. This is just one good example that I use myself.

A common approach to forex trading is to play with small stakes and target large price moves in the region of 50-200 pips. Indeed I trade this way myself using my main 4 hour trading system. However an alternative approach is to increase your stakes and look for much smaller price moves. That way you only need to find one decent trade per day if it generates around 10 pips, for instance.

It’s not that easy to do, but you can achieve this target if you employ a sound trading strategy. The best approach is to concentrate only on the major currency pairs (such as the GBP/USD, EUR/USD, USD/JPY, EUR/GBP and GBP/JPY, etc) and look for pairs that are trending strongly upwards or downwards during a given trading session.

You simply look at say the 1 hour chart of all of the major pairs and see which ones are moving strongly upwards or downwards. Then once you’ve done that you can use the shorter time frames to get a good entry point.

The best strategy is to find out which currency pairs are moving upwards on both the 1 hour and 15 minute charts, and then hone in on the 5 minute chart. You want to wait for the price to start moving sideways or downwards on this shorter time frame before turning upwards again, because this is an excellent sign that the established trend is set to continue, and therefore likely to net you at least 10 points or so if this is your target.

Many intraday traders use this type of strategy and for good reason. If you know there is a strong trend in place, then the short-term chart will present you with some decent trading opportunities, particularly near the beginning of a particular trend.

Therefore it’s fairly easy to generate a safe 10 pips every day, particularly if you use a few technical indicators to help you. For example you could use moving average crossovers, or you could wait for the RSI and/or stochastics to become oversold and then go long if there is a long term upward trend in place.

There are lots of methods you can use but the point is that if you always trade in the direction of the overall trend, then it is fairly easy to generate consistent profits. You should find that you can easily find one outstanding trading opportunity every single day across the various different currency pairs. After all you only need to generate around 10 pips per day to make a decent living from forex trading.

FOREX Trading without Indicators

When it comes to trading most professional traders will be trading with indicators, so when most people hear that someone is trading with out them there is an instant look of bewilderment. To them it sounds like driving in the dark with no lights. But in fact it is the opposite.
So to people that trade without indicators they have to same reaction to people that trade with 10 indicators on their charts in order to place a trade. They will view all of these indicators as causing a blind spot to what is actually going on in the market.

FOREX Traders have been trading without indicators for as longs as the market have been around. This is what is simply known as price action. This particular trader is looking at the chart, looking at the current prices movements, comparing it to past price action movements to predict future price movements. So in simple terms everything we need know is sitting there right before our eyes, without the block of needless indicators.

Here is an example, within the FOREX Market there are certain patters that will be repeated on a constant basis. They are predictive in nature, as opposed to indicators like and RSI or MACD which are always lagging. They are only telling us what has already happened. Anybody can be a millionaire if they only tell you what has happened already. The real skill is using past information to make an informed decision about what the future holds. Trading without indicators is as close as we’ll ever get to being a FOREX Trading psychic.

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